Staff Working Paper No. 1,075
By Tihana Škrinjarić
This is a survey of the literature on Growth-at-Risk (GaR) for macroprudential policy stance assessment. After acknowledging the main findings and contributions, we focus on the current challenges that are present in the literature. Key challenges are the measurement and intensity of the policy variable, and the mitigation of endogeneity issues. We suggest improvements on ways to measure the policy itself and its intensity, review policy endogeneity adjustment and different sources of data. Finally, we conclude the review providing insights on future pathways of GaR macroprudential methodology.
Growth-at-risk for macroprudential policy stance assessment: a survey
