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What is monetary policy for?

price stability
monetary policy, prices and output

price stability         

The broad aim of monetary policy is to achieve stable prices. Price stability means that changes in the general level of prices across the economy are relatively small and gradual - in other words, prices do not rise by much from month to month and from year to year. In practice, price stability equates to low and stable inflation.

the broad aim of monetary policy is to achieve price stability

A quote from Alan Greenspan, a former Chairman of the US Federal Reserve - the central bank of the United States - is one of the most apt.

"For all practical purposes, price stability means that expected changes in the average price level are small enough and gradual enough that they do not materially enter business and household decisions."

The goal of price stability has become widely accepted as the appropriate objective of monetary policy, and is now one of the primary considerations of central banks around the world. This consensus reflects an understanding of how the economy works and a practical experience of the ineffectiveness in effectiveness of using monetary policy to achieve other economic objectives.

monetary policy, prices and output         

The effects of monetary policy - interest rates - are ultimately seen in prices. A change in interest rates feeds through the economy, influencing demand, costs and then prices. This process is explained in 'Inflation' under the heading 'How do interest rates affect inflation?'. Boosting demand, by lowering interest rates, may cause output to rise at a faster rate for a time. But monetary policy does not have a lasting impact on output.

Suppose the Bank of England printed double the amount of money in the economy and left it on street corners for people to help themselves. People would go out and spend more. But the economy cannot simply produce twice as much. Firms would try to increase output to meet the extra demand and imports might rise. But the extra demand for resources would force costs and prices higher. In the same way, changing interest rates will result in changes in demand in the economy. But, overall, it cannot affect what the economy is able to produce, other than in the short term as output responds to fluctuations in demand.

Some of the mistakes in economic policy in the past resulted from a belief that it was possible to raise output and employment permanently by accepting a degree of inflation - there was an assumed trade - off between inflation and unemployment. But efforts to exploit this it, by trying to boost demand through higher government spending or lower interest rates, led to increasing rates of inflation - they revealed that, in the long run, there was no such trade-off.

there is no general, lasting trade-off between output and inflation

There is, however, a recognised trade-off between output and inflation in the short term, ie a few years. This is very important to the workings and conduct of monetary policy. In the short term, if demand and output are growing too quickly, increasing interest rates can reduce output growth back to a level which does not result in inflationary pressure.

the effects of monetary policy are ultimately seen in prices

Conversely, reducing interest rates can increase output growth. But, in the longer run, there is no lasting trade-off between output and inflation. Changes in interest rates affect prices only.

The role of monetary policy is restricted to influencing the level of demand in the economy in order to control inflation. Changes in monetary policy do affect output and employment in the short term. But these influences do not last.

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