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External MPC Unit Discussion Papers

These papers report on research carried out by, or under the supervision of, the external members of the Monetary Policy Committee and their economic staff. Papers are made available as soon as practicable in order to share research results and stimulate further discussion of key policy issues. Their publication is authorised by the MPC member who commissioned the research. However, the views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not represent the views of the Bank of England or necessarily the views of external members of the Monetary Policy Committee.

July 2009 Discussion Paper No 28
pdf International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective (319k)
By Haroon Mumtaz, Saverio Simonelli and Paolo Surico
June
2009

Discussion Paper No 27
pdf The Global Credit Boom:
Challenges for Macroeconomics and Policy
(592k)
Michael Hume and Andrew Sentance

December 2008 Discussion Paper No 26
pdf Monetary Policies and Low-Frequency Manifestations of the Quantity Theory (1.3Mb)
Thomas J Sargent and Paolo Surico
October 2008 Discussion Paper No 25
pdf Household External Finance and Consumption (388k)
Timothy Besley, Neil Meads and Paolo Surico
(An earlier version of this paper was published on 18 February alongside a speech by Timothy Besley)
July 2008

Discussion Paper No 24
pdf The Causal Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Expectations in the United Kingdom (470k)
Roger Kelly

March 2008

Discussion Paper No 23
pdf Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy (485k)
Haroon Mumtaz and Paolo Surico

February 2008 Discussion Paper No. 22
Has trade with China affected UK inflation?
(399k)
Tracy Wheeler
January 2008 Discussion Paper No. 21
The Behaviour of the MPC: Gradualism, Inaction and Individual Voting Patterns download pdf (607k)
Charlotta Groth and Tracy Wheeler
December 2007 Discussion Paper No. 20
Insiders versus Outsiders in
Monetary Policy-Making
download pdf (162k)
Timothy Besley, Neil Meads and Paolo Surico
News Release
December 2007 Discussion Paper No. 19
Monetary Policy and Data Uncertainty:
A Case Study of Distribution, Hotels
and Catering Growth
download pdf (280k)
Lavan Mahadeva
October 2007 Discussion Paper No. 18
Vector Autoregression Analysis and the Great Moderation download pdf (252k)
Luca Benati and Paolo Surico
April
2007
Discussion Paper No. 17
The Impact of the Recent Migration from Eastern Europe on the UK Economy download pdf (300k)
David G. Blanchflower, Jumana Saleheen and Chris Shadforth
Nov
2006
Discussion Paper No.16
Diverging Trends in Aggregate and Firm–Level Volatility in the UK (134k)
by Miles Parker
Dec
2005
Discussion Paper No.15
Do Financial Markets React to Bank of England Communication? (345k)
Rachel Reeves and Michael Sawicki
May
2005
Discussion Paper No.14
National Accounts Revisions and Output Gap Estimates in a Model of Monetary Policy with Data Uncertainty (342k)
Lavan Mahadeva and Alex Muscatelli
May
2003
Discussion Paper No.13
UK Consumers' Habits (465k)
Ryan Banerjee and Nicoletta Batini
April
2003
Discussion Paper No.12
Measuring The UK Short-Run NAIRU (383k)
Nicoletta Batini and Jennifer Greenslade
October
2002
Discussion Paper No.11
The Exchange Rate and Inflation in the UK (297k)
Amit Kara and Edward Nelson
October
2002
Discussion Paper No.10
Macroeconomic Policy Rules in Theory and in Practice
(120k)
Christopher Allsopp
April
2002
Discussion Paper No.9
The Pricing Behaviour of UK Firms (236k)
Nicoletta Batini, Brian Jackson and Stephen Nickell
March
2002
Discussion Paper No.8
Too Much Too Soon: Instability and Indeterminacy with Forward-Looking Rules (237k)
Nicoletta Batini and Joseph Pearlman
February
2002
Discussion Paper No.7
The Future of Macroeconomic Policy in the European Union (123k)
Christopher Allsopp
October
2001
Discussion Paper No.6
The Lag from Monetary Policy Actions to Inflation: Friedman Revisited (73k)
Nicoletta Batini and Edward Nelson
October
2001
Discussion Paper No.5
Monetary Policy for an Open Economy: An Alternative Framework with Optimising Agents and Sticky Prices (649k)
Bennett T. McCallum and Edward Nelson
May
2001
Discussion Paper No.4
A Disaggregated Approach To Modelling UK Labour Force Participation (94k)
By Joanne Cutler And Kenny Turnbull
March
2001
Discussion Paper No.3
Core Inflation in the UK (451k)
Joanne Cutler
November
2000
Discussion Paper No.2
Inflation Dynamics and the Labour Share in the UK (181k)
Nicoletta Batini, Brian Jackson and Stephen Nickell
September
2000
Discussion Paper No.1
Monetary Conditions Indices for the UK: A Survey (492k)
Nicoletta Batini and Kenny Turnbull

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