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Asset Prices

2002
House prices, household debt and monetary policy (109k)
Speech by Stephen Nickell, given at a private dinner for Glasgow Agency contacts in Glasgow on 11 December 2002

Addresses the question: should we keep interest rates higher than would be required to hit the inflation target during 2004 in order not to encourage further debt accumulation and increases in house prices? Argues that the right answer to the question is no.

Summer 2002
Asset prices and inflation (108k)
By Roger Clews

One in a series on the UK monetary policy process. It discusses some of the interconnections between inflation, monetary policy and asset prices.

Spring 2002
On market-based measures of inflation expectations (124k)
By Cedric Scholtes

Prices of index-linked financial securities provide market-based measures of inflation expectations and attitudes to inflation risk.

Winter 2001
Why house prices matter (112k)
By Kosuke Aoki, James Proudman and Gertjan Vlieghe

Analyses the role of house prices in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy and the implications of structural change in UK retail credit markets for the relationship between house prices and consumption.

Winter 2001
Financial effects on corporate investment in UK business cycles (158k)
By Simon Hall

This article uses a 'credit channel' model to consider the potential for interactions between corporate financial positions and investment spending. The results suggest that financial effects might have been relatively more important in the early 1990s' recession than in the 1980s.

February 2000
Recent developments in extracting information from options markets (83k)
By Roger Clews, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and James Proudman

The MPC is provided with information from options markets to quantify market uncertainty about the future course of financial asset prices. For short-term interest rates, this is shown in the Inflation Report's blue fan chart. Similar information can be obtained from a wide range of other assets. This article compares the performance of alternative techniques for extracting information from options prices.

May 1999
Monetary policy and the yield curve (33k)
By Andrew Haldane and Vicky Read

This article examines and interprets movements in the yield curve at the time of changes in monetary policy. These responses provide a measure of the degree of transparency and credibility of a monetary regime.

August 1994
Estimating market interest rate and inflation expectations from the prices of UK government bonds (55k)
By Mark Deacon and Andrew Derry

Examines ways in which inferences about these expectations can be drawn from the market prices of government bonds.

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