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Exchange Rates

Winter 2004
The new sterling ERI (181k)
By Birone Lynch and Simon Whitaker

This article explains proposals for a new sterling trade-weighted effective exchange rate index. The proposed new index would reflect more recent trade patterns, incorporate services trade and a broader set of countries, including those in Asia.

August 2000
The exchange rate and the MPC: what can we do? (85k)
Speech by Sushil Wadhwani to the Senior Business Forum at the Centre for Economic Performance

Argues that looking only at a two year ahead inflation forecast when setting interest rates is likely to be sub-optimal, and that allowing asset price misalignments to have an additional impact on interest rates could enable a reduction in the volatility of inflation.

November 1997
Decomposing exchange rate movements according to the uncovered interest rate parity condition (96k)
By Andrew Brigden, Ben Martin and Chris Salmon

Discusses relationship between exchange rate and monetary policy.

May 1997
Monetary policy and the exchange rate (13k)
Speech by Mervyn King at Euromoney International Bond Congress

Considers the implication of the recent rise in sterling for inflation and interest rates. Argues that any coherent analysis of the implications of a change in the exchange rate must consider why the exchange rate has moved. Different explanations have different implications for inflation and monetary policy. It is for this reason, argues Mervyn King, that there is no mechanical link between the exchange rate and domestic interest rates.

November 1993
Monetary policy implications of increased capital flows (1.6mb)
By Andrew Crockett, Executive Director of the Bank of England. Paper presented to the August 1993 Jackson Hole symposium, 'Changing capital markets: implications for monetary policy', organised by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Discusses impact of increased capital flows on monetary policy, the choice of exchange rate regime in conditions of capital mobility, the implementation of monetary policy when capital is mobile and international policy co-ordination.

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