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Autumn 2003  Public expectations of UK inflation (92k)
(by Clare Lombardelli and Jumana Saleheen of the Bank's Monetary Assessment and Strategy Division). Every quarter, NOP carries out a survey of the inflation expectations of the general public. This article illustrates how expectations vary according to individuals' different circumstances, and tries to explain how these differences might occur.
Autumn 2002  Ageing and the UK economy (66k)
(by Garry Young of the Bank's Domestic Finance Division). This article argues that overall living standards in the United Kingdom are set to double over the next 50 years alongside a sharp increase in the proportion of people over retirement age. While there are clear risks to this outlook, these would be present even without demographic change. Nevertheless an ageing population does appear to increase the risks to the financial welfare of individuals, especially in their old age. If people living longer do not save more when they are working, then either they have to consume less in their old age or work for longer than would have been the case had greater provision been made for retirement. This risk is heightened by general uncertainty about asset returns which becomes more important as the number of people reliant on private pensions increases.

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  • Inflation Report
    Sets out the detailed economic analysis and inflation projections on which the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee bases its interest rate decisions, and presents an assessment of the prospects for UK inflation over the following two years.
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