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Summary of Quarterly Bulletin
May 1996

Each article is available as a separate pdf file; click on the appropriate title to access the relevant file. Alternatively you may download the complete issue (1.37mb).
   
Research and analysis

Research work published by the Bank is intended to contribute to debate, and is not necessarily a statement of Bank policy.

Understanding broad money (95k)
(by Ryland Thomas of the Bank's Monetary Assessment and Strategy Division).
Broad money is at the heart of the monetary transmission mechanism and consequently plays an important role in the assessment of inflationary pressures. This article examines the factors behind stronger broad money and credit growth in 1995, using recent econometric research undertaken at the Bank.

How do UK companies set prices? (69k)
(by Simon Hall, Mark Walsh and Tony Yates of the Bank's Structural Economic Analysis Division).
In the autumn of 1995, the Bank conducted a survey of price-setting behaviour in 654 UK companies that maintain regular contact with the Bank's Agents. The survey was inspired by the work of Alan Blinder in the United States. The survey has made available much new information. For example, companies do not regard the direct costs of changing prices as being particularly important, although prices are typically changed infrequently, on average only twice a year. Preserving customer relationships is very important for firms in making decisions about prices. And there are many differences among firms about which factors influence price changes. These results throw light on how monetary policy-which is focused on the control of inflation-affects the economy. The article describes the survey results and how they compare with other information about UK price setting.

The valuation of sub-underwriting agreements for UK rights issues (27k)
(by Francis Breedon and Ian Twinn of the Bank's Markets and Trading Systems Division).
Most equity issues in the United Kingdom are underwritten-that is, a group of financial institutions guarantees to buy any unsold shares at a pre-arranged price. The pricing of this guarantee affects the cost and efficiency of industry's capital raising. Earlier studies in a number of countries, including the United Kingdom, have suggested that underwriting fees are much higher than can be accounted for by fully competitive pricing. This article explores some modifications to those previous calculations and concludes that, while a rather larger part of the fee may be accounted for, there remains a margin still to be explained.

Bank of England Agents' summary of business conditions (197k)
The Bank is publishing the first quarterly summary of the reports on current business conditions that it receives from its Agents in the regions. The first edition of the summary is enclosed with this copy of the Bulletin.

G7 yield curves (224k)
(by Neil Cooper and Jim Steeley of the Bank's Monetary Instruments and Markets Division).
In November 1994, the Bank of England adopted a new method for estimating yield curves from the gilt-edged market. The curves are used for measuring expectations of future interest rates and inflation. Recently the Bank used the same method to estimate the yield curves of the other G7 countries' government debt. This article describes these yield curves and explains how the estimation method was adapted to each particular market.

Seasonal adjustment of UK monetary aggregates (17k)
(by Marco Bianchi of the Bank's Monetary Instruments and Markets Division).
This note describes a study recently published by the Bank on ways to adjust monetary aggregates for seasonal variation.

Back to 1996

Related Links
  • Inflation Report
    Sets out the detailed economic analysis and inflation projections on which the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee bases its interest rate decisions, and presents an assessment of the prospects for UK inflation over the following two years.
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