Quarterly Bulletin
New Economy Articles
| Spring 2004 | Measuring
total factor productivity for the United Kingdom 
(99k)(by Charlotta Groth, Maria Gutierrez-Domenech and Sylaja Srinivasan of the Bank's Structural Economic Analysis Division). A good understanding of productivity growth is important for understanding aggregate supply capacity, and so for the conduct of monetary policy. To understand the sources of supply capacity well, it is important to measure output and factor inputs correctly. This article summarises recent and ongoing research at the Bank of England on improved measures of factor inputs. This work explicitly accounts for changes in the quality of these inputs and for the flow of services available from them, as well as for the costs of adjusting the level and utilisation of the inputs over time. This research was presented at a workshop on 'measuring factor inputs' held at the Bank of England in December 2003. |
| Summer 2001 | Has there
been a structural improvement in US productivity?
(85k) (By Stuart Berry of the Bank's International Economic Analysis Division and David England of the Bank's Monetary Assessment and Strategy Division). Annual labour productivity growth in the United States has averaged 2.8% a year since 1996, compared with an average rate of 1.6% during the preceding 25 years. This marked increase in productivity growth has been a key component of what many commentators have suggested is a 'new economy'. Given the US slowdown since the second half of 2000, a key question is the extent to which these gains reflect structural improvements, rather than cyclical factors. The evidence so far points towards a large role for structural improvements in productivity. If these gains prove to be more cyclical, however, this would have important implications for corporate performance, financial markets and, ultimately, output and inflation. |
