Hedging, market concentration and monetary policy: a joint analysis of gilt and derivatives exposures

Staff working papers set out research in progress by our staff, with the aim of encouraging comments and debate.
Published on 21 July 2023

Staff Working Paper No. 1,032

By Gabor Pinter and Danny Walker 

We use granular data sets – merged across the UK government bond, interest rate swap, options and futures markets – to estimate exposures to interest rate risk at the sector level and for individual funds within the same sector. We focus on non-bank financial intermediaries (NBFIs) such as insurance companies, pension funds, asset managers and hedge funds. We find that NBFIs tend to use derivatives to amplify bond market exposures to interest rate risk, rather than to hedge them. Moreover, interest rate derivatives usage is highly concentrated among a few investors, which could increase the aggregate consequences of idiosyncratic shocks to these investors. We show that this market concentration impedes the monetary policy transmission to asset prices. We also find that monetary policy loosening (tightening) causes NBFIs to take on more (less) interest rate risk via derivatives, consistent with the risk-taking channel of monetary policy.

Hedging, market concentration and monetary policy: a joint analysis of gilt and derivatives exposures