News release
The August 2026 DMP survey was conducted between 7-21 August 2026 and received 2,012 responses.
Firms reported that their realised annual own-price growth was 3.7% in the three months to August, 0.1 percentage points lower than firms reported in the three months to July. Note that the DMP covers own prices from firms across the whole economy, not just consumer-facing firms.
Year-ahead own-price inflation was expected to be 3.8% in the three months to August, 0.1 percentage points lower than firms reported in the three months to July. Businesses therefore expect output price inflation to rise by 0.1 percentage points over the next year, based on three-month averages.
Expectations for year-ahead CPI inflation fell to 3.1% in the three months to August, down from 3.4% in the three months to July. The corresponding measure for three-year-ahead CPI inflation expectations was 2.8% in the three months to August, remaining unchanged from the three months to July.
Firms reported that annual wage growth was 4.0% in the three months to August, unchanged from the three months to July. Expected year-ahead wage growth also remained unchanged at 3.4% in the three months to August. This implies that firms expect their wage growth to decline by 0.6 percentage points over the next 12 months.
Firms reported that realised annual employment growth was -0.2% in the three months to August, up from -0.4% in the three months to July. Expectations for employment growth over the next year rose by 0.2 percentage points to 0.1% in the three months to August.
Since April, the DMP survey has asked firms how they expect the recent energy shock to affect their business over the next 12 months. In August, higher prices and lower profit margins remained the most common forms of adjustment. 59% of firms expected to increase prices (down 5 percentage points since April), while 6% expected to lower prices. At the same time, 61% of firms expected lower profit margins, down from 68% in April. The expected impact of higher energy prices on wages remained modest, with 19% of firms expecting wages to increase and 17% expecting them to be lower.