John Lewis

Research Manager - Research Hub

Biography

John’s research is primarily empirical and spans a range of topics in macroeconomics, including international economics, monetary policy and fiscal policy.  His recent work has looked at exchange rate passthrough, the role of EMEs in import prices, and the recovery following the Great Trade Collapse.  John is also the managing editor of Bank’s staff blog, Bank Underground. Prior to joining the Bank John worked in the research departments at the Dutch and Estonian central banks.
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John's Bank publications

Publication // Working Paper

Non-linearities, asymmetries and dollar currency...

Non-linearities, asymmetries and dollar currency pricing in exchange rate pass-through: evidence from...
Publication // Working Paper

The macroeconomic determinants of migration

The macroeconomic determinants of migration
Publication // Working Paper

What can Big Data tell us about the passthrough...

What can Big Data tell us about the passthrough of big exchange rate changes?
Publication // Working Paper

Export dynamics since the Great Trade Collapse:...

Export dynamics since the Great Trade Collapse: a cross-country analysis
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John's Bank Underground blog posts

Old problems with new assets: some of crypto’s challenges look strangely familiar - October 2022
What did we learn from working from home during Covid? - June 2022
(Some of) The macroeconomics of working from home - November 2021
Covid-19 briefing: working from home and worker productivity - July 2021
The differing effects of globalization on trade versus migration - June 2021
Covid-19 briefing: extensions to the SIR model - November 2020
First-time buyers: how do they finance their purchases and what’s changed? - September 2020
Bitesize: The age evolution of first-time buyers - August 2020
Houses are assets not goods: taking the theory to the UK data - September 2019
Houses are assets not goods: What the difference between bulbs and flowers tells us about the housing market - September 2019
The seven deadly paradoxes of cryptocurrency - November 2018
Lehman Brothers: 10 years on - September 2018
Should peer to peer lenders exist in theory? - June 2018
Bitesize: The past decade’s productivity growth in historical context - April 2018
Bitesize: UK real interest rates over the past three centuries - April 2018
Bitesize: The very volatile value of cryptocurrencies - August 2017
Unto us a lender of last resort is born: Overend Gurney goes bust in 1866 - December 2016
Bitesize: America is not always like the rest of the world - November 2016
Fish and (micro)chips: Why I’m relatively relaxed about robots - October 2016
Robot Macroeconomics: What can theory and several centuries of economic history teach us? - September 2016
Bouncebackability of exports after the Great Trade Collapse of 2008/9 - December 2015

John's selected academic publications

The cyclicality of automatic and discretionary fiscal policy: What can real time data tell us? - Macroeconomic Dynamics (2015)  
ECB reaction functions and the crisis of 2008 - International Journal of Central Banking (2014)  
The zero lower bound, ECB interest rate policy and the financial crisis - Empirical Economics (2014)  
Fiscal policy in central and eastern Europe with real time data: Cyclicality, inertia and the role of EU accession - Applied Economics (2013)   
How reliable are cyclically adjusted budget balances in real time? - Contemporary Economic Policy (2012)  
The Maastricht inflation criterion: What is the effect of EU enlargement? - Journal of Common Market Studies, (2010)  
Hitting and hoping?  Meeting the exchange rate and inflation criteria during a period of nominal convergence - European Journal of Political Economy (2009)  
European fiscal discipline before and after EMU: Permanent weight loss or crash diet? - Macroeconomic Dynamics (2008)

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