Transformative artificial intelligence (AI): implications for structural change and monetary policy

Hybrid: 23 – 24 June 2026

About the conference

Date: Tuesday 23 and Wednesday 24 June 2026

Format: Hybrid

Event Directors: Andrew Blake, Angus Foulis, John Power, and Jagdish Tripathy

This year’s CCBS flagship monetary policy conference will consider the impact of AI on the macroeconomy and lessons for monetary policymakers.  

The programme will feature paper presentations and panel discussions examining how the adoption of AI could affect: innovation and firm level productivity; employment, wages and the distribution of income; the economy’s growth potential and the neutral real interest rate; as well as any associated monetary policy strategy. It will also consider how central banks are using AI to sharpen their analytical toolkits.

Anton Korinek (University of Virginia) will give the keynote speech at the conference.

Confirmed external speakers include Jonathan Haskel (Imperial College Business School), Leonardo Gambacorta (Bank for International Settlements), Bouke Klein Teeselink (King's College London), Maria del Rio-Chanona (University College London), and other colleagues from academia and the central banking community.

This conference will be hybrid. Please be aware we have limited availability for in-person spaces for this conference; there is no guarantee of attendance. We politely ask you to consider virtual participation if you are unable to commit to the two days of the conference. We expect virtual attendees to be mainly in listening mode, but we hope to offer some form of interaction.

You will receive a notification as to whether your application is successful or not and if you have been offered an in-person or virtual place.

Conference programme

Tuesday 23 June  

Opening Remarks
Speaker: Clare Lombardelli (Bank of England)

 
Implications for Innovation and Productivity
Chair: Catherine L Mann (Bank of England)

AI as an Innovation in the Method of Innovation: Implications for Productivity Growth 
Speaker: Jonathan Haskel (Imperial College Business School)
J.Haskel slides
Management Responses and Firm Productivity
Chair: Angus Foulis (Bank of England)

Profitable Adoption of Emerging Digital General-Purpose Technologies: The Role of Management Skills
Speaker: Jonathan Hambur (Reserve Bank of Australia) 

Firm Data on AI: Cross-Country Survey Evidence from Senior Business Executives
Speaker: Phil Bunn (Bank of England)
J.Hambur slides
P.Bunn slides
Monetary Policy Strategy
Chair: Adrian Paul (Bank of England)

AI and Monetary Policy: A Two-Sector New Keynesian Framework 
Speaker: Joshua Brault (Bank of Canada)

Monetary Policy Responses to an AI-Driven Technology Shock

Speaker: Giuseppe Ferrero (Banca d'Italia)
J.Brault slides
G.Ferrero slides
Cross-Country Evidence on AI Adoption
Chair: Jagdish Tripathy (Bank of England)

AI and the Economy: Heterogeneity in the Effects across Countries
Speaker: Leonardo Gambacorta (Bank for International Settlements)
L.Gambacorta slides
Keynote Speech: Transformative AI: Long-term Growth Prospects and Policy Responses
Chair: Rohan Churm (Bank of England)

Economic Growth Under Transformative AI; and Steering Technological Progress
Speaker: Anton Korinek (University of Virginia)
A.Korinek slides
Tools for Central Banks: Unstructured Data
Chair: Marco Bardoscia (Bank of England)

Forecasting Inflation with Microdata: An Adaptive Machine Learning Approach
Speaker: Joe Hazell (London School of Economics)

Measuring economic outlook in the news
Speaker: Elliot Beck (Swiss National Bank)

Generative modelling of non-linearities and joint macroeconomic distributions with neural networks
Speaker: Agha Durrani (European Central Bank)
J.Hazell slides
E.Beck slides
Wednesday 24 June  
AI Exposure and Adoption: Fiscal and Employment Effects
Chair: Angus Foulis (Bank of England)

Productivity Gains from AI in the Private and Public Sector 
Speaker: Maximilian Freier (European Central Bank) 

Prompting Change: Firm-Level AI Adoption and Worker-Level Outcomes in Linked Administrative Data
Speaker: Saman Darougheh (Danmarks Nationalbank)
S.Darougheh slides
Panel Discussion on Long-term R*
Chair: Huw Pill (Bank of England)

AI and the Natural Rate of Interest
Speaker: Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi (Bank of England)

What Next for r*? A Capital Market Perspective on the Natural Rate of Interest
Speaker: Lukasz Rachel (University College London)
A.Cesa-Bianchi slides
L.Rachel slides
Implications for Labour Markets
Chair: Jagdish Tripathy (Bank of England)

AI and Jobs: A Review of Theory, Estimates and Evidence
Speaker: Maria del Rio-Chanona (University College London) 

Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of AI
Speaker: Bharat Chandar (Stanford University)
M.d.Rio-Chanona slides
B.Chandar slides

Long-Term Structural Change
Chair: Josh Martin (Bank of England)

Generative AI at the Crossroads: Light Bulb, Dynamo, or Microscope?
Speaker: Paul Soto (Federal Reserve Board)

AI, productivity and innovation: cross-country evidence from microdata
Speaker: Flavio Calvino (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development)

 

Tools for Central Banks: Panel Discussion on Forecasting
Chair: Andrew Blake (Bank of England)

Real-Time Macroeconomic Forecasting with Time Series Foundation Models
Speaker: Yannic Stucki (Swiss National Bank) 

Using AI for Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting 
Speaker: Koji Nakamura (Bank of Japan) 

Nowcasting with Non-Traditional Data: Evidence from Egypt
Speaker: Sherif Shahin (Central Bank of Egypt)

AI-powered forecasting using structured and unstructured data
Speaker: Kevin Lim (Monetary Authority of Singapore)

Y.Stucki slides
K.Nakamura slides
S.Shahin slides
K.Lim slides
Closing Remarks
Speaker: Huw Pill (Bank of England)
 
This page was last updated 09 July 2026